WASHINGTON, August 12, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Market Oversight issued an advisory on incentive programs for prediction markets after staff observed an increase in incentive-program rule filings relating to event-contract products, including filings that were procedurally or substantively deficient.
WASHINGTON, August 11, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission invoked its emergency authority and ordered KalshiEX LLC to continue operating its exchange under normal practices and the Commodity Exchange Act’s Core Principles, escalating a jurisdictional dispute over New York’s attempt to apply state gambling laws to the federally regulated prediction-market operator.
WASHINGTON, August 7, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s market oversight and market participants divisions warned regulated entities that using “American odds” to display event-contract prices is likely to mislead market participants, raising potential concerns under federal prohibitions on manipulative and deceptive practices.
WASHINGTON, July 24, 2026 — The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Division of Market Oversight (DMO) issued an advisory Friday reminding designated contract markets (DCMs) that Broad Template Certifications for event contracts should not be submitted under Commission Regulation 40.2(a).
WASHINGTON, July 14, 2026 — The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has stayed an emergency rule filed by KalshiEX LLC that would have resulted in the forced liquidation of certain previously executed event-contract positions involving Michigan residents.
PARIS, July 3, 2026 — The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has reminded firms offering prediction markets, also known as event contracts, to assess whether their products fall within existing national product intervention measures on binary options where they qualify as financial instruments, as the growing popularity of such products and increasing retail participation draw greater regulatory attention.
WASHINGTON, June 25, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has proposed a new reporting framework for certain fully collateralized event contracts, seeking to replace a reporting system that has relied on staff no-action letters since 2017 with formal Commission regulations.
WASHINGTON, June 23, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the U.S. Department of Justice have filed a lawsuit against Kentucky, seeking to block the state’s efforts to apply state laws to federally regulated prediction markets and event contracts.
WASHINGTON, June 10, 2026 — The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking seeking public comment on amendments to Regulation 40.11 and the addition of Appendix F to Part 40, establishing a framework for evaluating certain event contracts.
WASHINGTON, May 27, 2026 — The Commodity Futures Trading Commission said Wednesday it filed a civil enforcement action against a Google employee accused of using confidential internal search-trend data to trade event contracts on prediction-market platform Polymarket, in a case that adds to U.S. regulatory scrutiny of blockchain-based event markets.
